The stock market and the dollar will dictate the Feds move!

Its of my opinion and my opinion only that the fed will not only keep the balance sheet the way it is but start adding as the Dow starts it's decent. This will obviously put pressure on the dollar and move it lower. When this move by the fed fails to halt the market decline this is when the about face will occur and interest rates will be forced higher to try to protect the US dollar from further decline. 

This is how I see it playing out in my head .