Saturday, March 15, 2014

Coffee ready to retrace?


After a nice move. Coffee may have completed it's run up and ready for a correction after 5 waves higher. 

Position : short premium @ 2.00
Target: 140-150 in a wave 2 position. 



Friday, March 14, 2014

Sugar … have we finished w2 or w4??

My first thought is that we had a completed w1 and possibly still could have. The second scenario is still bullish but in a w4 that possibly completed today after hitting the .382 retrace this morning. 
Either way I believe we are setting up for the next run higher


Second scenario
Sugar has staged a nice rally to the w 3 target of 1848 and now we have been putting in a wave 4 that hit the trgt this morning of 17.57. Now if we get a full wave 5 we should reach somewhere in the vicinity of 19.17 . 

Thursday, March 13, 2014

Interest rate bottom call…? I'll take a shot

Where do I think interest rates are going?… I'm gonna take a crack at a interest rate bottom call… for dec 2014 Eurodollar. I'm projecting a top between 98.40 to 98.60 around the 24 of this month. 

Amazon close to a top???? let's take a look


Amazon is most definitely in the final wave 5 higher but where will the 5th wave end and reverse. What I will be looking for is a complete 5 wave pattern higher. My first target is the 410-420 area assuming that this wave 5 does not truncate. A break below 337 will give us clues that this run higher is complete and a correction is coming

Nasdaq…1-2, 1-2 in place?

Nasdaq appears to be putting in a 1-2 1-2. Resistance at 3726 needs to hold if this count is to stand…. I will be selling a break under 13680 if we hold. 

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Canadian dollar in w3 of the (c) leg?




Been a while since I last posted on the Canadian dollar so here goes.  

(Click chart to enlarge)

On the daily chart it looks like we are still in a third wave lower to possibly the 8657 level where I'm looking for a bounce in a wave 4. 




Now let's look at the monthly chart…this picture below shows a triangle being formed and and the 3rd leg of this triangle is close to being complete. 
I'm concluding we may see 8650 or so very soon and most likely to 8460-70 before we turn higher back to a target of 99.00 or so.  


Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Dag "double agriculture long" has wave 2 completed?


Dag (etf) looks like we have finished or very close to finishing the wave 2 and a w3 higher set to take over. For this count to be correct we must not break below the low made back in 2010. 
A break above 15 is the first clue that the w3 has taken over…

Nasdaq wave 2 intra day?


The Nasdaq futures hit an exact .618 in a possible wave 2 intra day in zig zag. A close near the bottom sets up a w3 lower to the 3620-30 level. 

Monday, March 10, 2014

Pork… do we get w3 extension ? Looks like it


June pork looks as if we are gonna get an extension in w3 of wave 3 that could reach as high as 132.20.  My short I had at 118 n change has been covered and will be waiting and watching this mrkt for the level mentioned above. 

Low Risk , high reward opportunity that's setting up.


The opportunity of a lifetime may be just around the corner… a low risk, high reward probability that may be in the final stages of its long term price movement higher. I watching for a new down trend in prices to take over most likely in the next couple months that should last for the next few years. Interested in learning what I am talking about? ( Email for my prediction)