Facebook update… B wave complete?

Facebook stock has moved to the 63-64 range in what appears to be an ABC "B "wave and it looks like the C wave lower is ready to begin any time now.

As my last few post on FB say my Price projection is for the C wave to end would be 44.50-47.50 

June Lean hogs putting in the deep wave 4 in a zig zag ?

Ever since we hit the extended wave 3 June lean hogs are putting in a 4th wave on a daily chart in a deep zig zag formation. I will be watching for 106-109 to hold.  wave A will be equal in length to wave C at 109.27.

Intraday set up for nat gas…

Wave 3 is setting up in nat gas intraday and a break over today's high of 4665 basis July targets as high as 503 , 504.  

Buying Christmas corn trade setup

- Here's the candle setup that happened yesterday in Christmas corn on the daily chart

Yesterday's close on dec corn was a positive in both wave counts and candle structure. We have pushed down far enough to qualify as a w2 to 466.  We will wait and see how we play out as I believe we are close to finishing this correction. 

Best case scenario :I would like to see the low from yesterday hold but it's not necessary as .786 support comes in at 452 1/4. 

Holding long from 472,466 and 465. 

$DJI… main and alternate counts… staying short!!!

Here is count #1 that I'm currently watching and it's in an ending diagonal trade that would call for one more high , possibly to the 16775-17000 before we turn lower toward where the triangle started and most likely much lower. 

The 2nd count is that we have seen the high already as we have 5 wave pattern lower from the high of 16735.50 and we are hanging around .786 level that qualifies as a completed wave 2. The only rule that would disqualify this trade would be a break above 16735.50 to a new high.

Both these counts are in play right now and I am holding short and looking to add to my position as both counts are pointing to a push lower to come soon.

Sugar update… wave 4 flat or w2?

Sugar opened this morning down and extended it's decline under some support of 1705 and 1707. I can now count 5 waves down from the high from 5/14 of 1828  as this is one of my fave set ups to the long side. I'm looking for a reversal to come and possibly coming today.

 This could be counted as a w4 flat and at completion usually preceeded by a w5 extention. I think we will see shortly.

Wave 2 scenario:

 The w4 is still counted as a w4 unless we move into the vicinity of 16.82. If this occurs then the 16.50 range and the advance from 1/28- 3-/3 will be counted as a completed w1. With a w2 underway. 

Current position still holding longs. 

Dow futures… time to sell?

This morning I will be selling the Dow futures June contract 16540  the low side is  Target is 16170-16200. In a c wave to finish the zig zag. 

Bullish doji star on sugar …

Sugar managed to hold on to the 1733-34 area and close in a bullish doji star. 

(A doji morning star is a bullish reversal pattern )

Now what I would like to see is a gap higher open and close higher on tues. It's very possible this was a deep wave 2. 

Holding longs

Sugar must hold levels…

Sugar after a strong rally last week has been on slide and what I thought was a completed triangle has yet to complete… for the current count to invalidate we would need to push below the high of 16.82 which is still a ways off. Today's support comes in at 17.33 which could still be a wave 2 intraday but 1705 and more so 1707 needs to hold and reverse. 

Current count is still in play as a w4 triangle but a break of these levels would set up a move to the 16.50 area

C leg of wave 4 flat… are we fi

Natural gas has hit my target of 437.0 this afternoon and slid to just under 435.50 as of this writing.  While it is possible to move back to the low around 429.3 we must not go/penetrate the 4286 price as this would negate the wave 4 flat formation scenario and take the extended 5th wave off the table. 

If this does happen to play out this way a wave 2 of wave 3 will be in the cards…

Dec wheat… 1st part of the correction complete?

Dec wheat looks to have completed 5 waves higher and I will be looking for a w2 in a zig zag formation .… 1st target comes in at 648.

 It also looks like the first leg of the possible zig zag lower is close to completing. Trgt to complete would be around the 670 price range. Tough to tell at this stage. This is what I would like to see play out.  a break of 686 3/4 would open the door to 670

No position as of yet

Sugar intra day update… wave 2 intraday?

After a nice rally last week we see sugar slide and are currently trading at 1751-52 on July contract which is exactly .618 of the move up from 1705 to 1825. If this is in fact a wave 2 (intraday) of the 5th wave then a reversal back to the high should take place very soon setting up the wave 3 higher. 

Holding long positions and will be watching to see if we get the reversal to set up the wave 3

Dec corn… 1st target hit

Dec corn has hit the first target of 472…where wave A= wave C. 

Position taken (dec )buying premium 472.0. To start new position… next lower target comes in 466. 

Dec corn… w2 in progress ?

Dec corn looks to have completed wave 1 and now look to be working on a wave 2. Most likely in a zig zag or possibly in an expanded flat. Will watch how this plays out. 

Observation : all the grain markets look like they are putting in w2's. 

Nat gas… update

Nat gas is looking like the 4th wave  of the c leg down could be in progress. Now the question is do we truncate the 5th wave. It looks like there is a good chance of it happening, as I believe a 5th wave extension higher is coming soon.  

OJ targets hit…

OJ targets were hit this morning and I'm currently buying premium at 155.00 per sept contract. We will see where we go, I'm thinking up

A few markets that could be setting up

So in the past few weeks we have several markets that could be in the last stages of their decline. OJ nat gas and corn. 

First off dec corn is creeping up on my 1st target zone for wave 2 that comes in @ 466-472. 

OJ is also creeping up on a downside trgt of 154-155 per sept contract. Intraday what I'd like to see is w4 up and then w5 down to set up the buy at 154-155. 

And finally nat gas has completed 1-2-3-4 waves down and working on the 5th wave lower. 5 th waves are tough so I will be watching the intraday for 5 waves down to finish the last leg of the flat or we may end this final 5th wave in an ABC. A push back towards yesterday's low could very well get me to add to positions

Didn't have time to run charts , but I will be updating these markets frequently. 

Wave 3 grinder in OJ ????

Orange juice looks like a nice grinding wave 3 and 1st targets come in around the 183-184. If this is in fact the case this will drive the bears crazy… 

Holding long positions

Dec corn wave 2 forming?

After playing around near the highs Dec corn looks like we are starting the C leg down of the w2. 1st Target comes in at 466 1/4. I will be waiting for this market to set up for the start of the w3 higher as I believe it's gonna be a good one. 

(If wave C is equal to wave A then my target moves up a tad to 472.00. )

Facebook c wave starting soon?

Facebook looks to have completed the A and B waves and now a break below 54.66 should be followed by a drop to the 44-47.50 price range in a C wave to complete the 4th wave. I will be looking to take profits at this level on remaining $FB shorts.